Le Hasard Sauvage (Romans, Essais, Poesie, Documents) (French Edition) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb PH.D. MBA
Le Hasard Sauvage (Romans, Essais, Poesie, Documents) (French Edition) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb PH.D. MBA PDF, ePub eBook D0wnl0ad
Sommes-nous vraiment capables de distinguer le genie visionnaire de l'imbecile chanceux? Pourquoi nous obstinons-nous a vouloir trouver des messages senses dans des evenements dus au seul hasard? Et n'aurions-nous pas une facheuse tendance a ordonner le reel selon une routine mentale biaisee, plutot que de le voir tel qu'il est, avec toute son incertitude? S'inspirant de disciplines aussi diverses que la litterature, la philosophie, la theorie des probabilites, la science cognitive et la finance, Nassim Nicholas Taleb montre comment notre esprit nous conduit a voir le monde, et en particulier les mecanismes de la Bourse, comme beaucoup plus previsible qu'il ne l'est... Nassim Nicholas Taleb etaye sa demonstration sur maintes anecdotes significatives et analyse la pensee et les actes d'individus qui ont su, chacun a sa maniere, comprendre la chance: Karl Popper, le philosophe du savoir, Solon, l'homme le plus sage de la Grece, le financier George Soros ou le voyageur Ulysse, nous emmenant de la cour de Cresus a la salle des marches de Wall Street via la methode de Monte-Carlo et la roulette russe... Reflexion essentielle, mais ecrite avec un humour constant, ce livre remet en cause nos idees recues sur nos representations du monde et nous montre comment, malgre notre ignorance du hasard sauvage qui gouverne l'univers, nous pouvons quand meme y vivre bien. Vendu a plusieurs milliers d'exemplaires en France et traduit en 27 langues, Le Hasard sauvage constitue la pierre d'angle de la pensee de Nassim Nicholas Taleb, l'auteur du Cygne Noir, best-seller mondial (plus de deux millions d'exemplaires vendus). Aujourd'hui plus que jamais cet opus I est d'une pertinence admirable.From reader reviews:
Ines Patterson:
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